Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.576983 1.645156 1.715054 1.792205 1.875125 1.961730 2.059236
2025-12-28 1.463527 1.561926 1.666636 1.786875 1.921786 2.069258 2.243713
2026-01-04 1.353614 1.470206 1.597937 1.749346 1.925375 2.125406 2.372598
2026-01-11 1.285680 1.417974 1.566674 1.748063 1.965991 2.222934 2.554351
2026-01-18 1.237371 1.383309 1.551146 1.761299 2.021638 2.339604 2.767433
2026-01-25 1.181661 1.335515 1.515777 1.746411 2.039595 2.408738 2.924417
2026-02-01 1.126061 1.284102 1.472131 1.717090 2.035403 2.446919 3.041335
2026-02-08 1.065619 1.223468 1.413488 1.664526 1.996414 2.434625 3.085091
2026-02-15 1.023836 1.183613 1.378265 1.639144 1.990286 2.464361 3.189036
2026-02-22 0.993668 1.156636 1.357563 1.630792 2.005379 2.522961 3.339225
2026-03-01 0.960882 1.124847 1.329023 1.610088 2.001488 2.553235 3.447664
2026-03-08 0.916003 1.076028 1.276515 1.554585 1.945594 2.503763 3.424637
2026-03-15 0.891662 1.054297 1.260416 1.550432 1.965945 2.573829 3.612360
2026-03-22 0.876473 1.043948 1.258972 1.566506 2.016741 2.694704 3.902850
2026-03-29 0.848949 1.016453 1.233523 1.547677 2.014945 2.733859 4.056992
2026-04-05 0.832220 1.002562 1.225750 1.553353 2.050036 2.834666 4.338626
2026-04-12 0.819842 0.993914 1.224598 1.568238 2.099898 2.964071 4.697007
2026-04-19 0.799800 0.974157 1.207178 1.558154 2.109571 3.025781 4.930037
2026-04-26 0.776694 0.949463 1.181887 1.535024 2.096643 3.046466 5.079631
2026-05-03 0.748363 0.916814 1.144324 1.491801 2.048505 3.000231 5.075021
2026-05-10 0.728642 0.895482 1.122116 1.470918 2.035866 3.017358 5.217090
2026-05-17 0.714386 0.881280 1.109554 1.464134 2.046078 3.077280 5.470065
2026-05-24 0.697659 0.863170 1.090767 1.446858 2.037405 3.100502 5.638172